Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000189 0.000209 0.000232 0.000258 0.000287 0.000319 0.000356
2025-04-06 0.000147 0.000176 0.000210 0.000253 0.000306 0.000370 0.000453
2025-04-13 0.000118 0.000149 0.000188 0.000240 0.000309 0.000398 0.000524
2025-04-20 0.000103 0.000136 0.000179 0.000241 0.000327 0.000445 0.000622
2025-04-27 0.000094 0.000128 0.000176 0.000246 0.000350 0.000500 0.000738
2025-05-04 0.000084 0.000119 0.000168 0.000244 0.000362 0.000540 0.000838
2025-05-11 0.000077 0.000113 0.000164 0.000247 0.000379 0.000588 0.000957
2025-05-18 0.000071 0.000106 0.000158 0.000245 0.000389 0.000626 0.001064
2025-05-25 0.000065 0.000100 0.000153 0.000243 0.000399 0.000666 0.001178
2025-06-01 0.000060 0.000094 0.000147 0.000240 0.000406 0.000699 0.001287
2025-06-08 0.000054 0.000087 0.000138 0.000232 0.000402 0.000712 0.001358
2025-06-15 0.000052 0.000084 0.000137 0.000234 0.000418 0.000765 0.001515
2025-06-22 0.000050 0.000082 0.000138 0.000243 0.000447 0.000847 0.001755
2025-06-29 0.000046 0.000077 0.000131 0.000237 0.000449 0.000878 0.001891
2025-07-06 0.000041 0.000070 0.000122 0.000225 0.000436 0.000877 0.001953
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000068 0.000120 0.000226 0.000450 0.000933 0.002163
2025-07-20 0.000037 0.000066 0.000119 0.000231 0.000472 0.001013 0.002450
2025-07-27 0.000035 0.000063 0.000116 0.000229 0.000481 0.001063 0.002669
2025-08-03 0.000033 0.000061 0.000115 0.000231 0.000498 0.001134 0.002959
2025-08-10 0.000032 0.000059 0.000112 0.000229 0.000506 0.001184 0.003205
2025-08-17 0.000030 0.000056 0.000109 0.000228 0.000515 0.001238 0.003474
2025-08-24 0.000028 0.000054 0.000106 0.000225 0.000519 0.001282 0.003723
2025-08-31 0.000026 0.000051 0.000101 0.000217 0.000510 0.001288 0.003851